Wednesday, August 26, 2009
Posted by: John Campbell at 10:25 AM
As readers of this missive know, I frequently voice my opinionwhen I believe the President is doing the wrong thing. That has been the case with virtually everything he has done thus far. However, when he takes action that I believe to be correct or helpful, I will point that out as well. Such is the case this week when the President announced that he will reappoint Ben Bernanke as Chairman of the Federal Reserve for another 4 year term. This is a hugely important and very positive decision for the following reasons:

Independence: The Federal Reserve should make decisions for economic reasons and remain independent of the White House so as not to politicize those decisions. I would say this regardless of who the President is. Bernanke is independent and will have been appointed by both Bush and Obama. Replacing him could have sent a sign that the Administration was trying to control the Fed which would have been a terrible message and precedent.

Past performance: With the benefit of hindsight, one can criticize some of Bernanke’s moves and statements during his first term. Certainly, he can be criticized for not identifying the depth of last year’s crisis sooner, among other things. But virtually none of us foresaw the severity of the crisis or offered a solution that would have prevented it. Bernanke’s swift and decisive action contributed to saving the economy from what would have been acomplete collapse last October. He has done a good job so far and we should let him seethe jobthrough back to a normal economy.

Continuity: Markets hate uncertainty, this is particularly true now. Continuing Bernanke’s Chairmanship until January 2014 gives the markets some confidence that monetary policy will be consistent and measured towards the Fed’s mission of growth with low inflation.

No Debt Monetization: This is probably the single most positive sign from the Bernanke reappointment. The federal debt and deficits are huge, unsustainable, and a major risk to future economic growth. Not to mention, it continues togrow. One way to deal with these problems is to “monetize” the debt. That means that the Fed would print money and buy all the new debt issues from the Treasury rather than sell them in the marketplace. Whenever any government has done this on any meaningful scale, it has resulted in uncontrolled inflation and a precipitous decline in the value of the currency. Bernanke has been clear that he thinks this is disastrous economic policy, and he is entirelycorrect. But it can be a politically easy way out of the mess without raising taxes or cutting spending. But it can’t be accomplished without the Fed Chairman’s 'OK.' Make no mistake; the debt/deficit is still a huge problem. But by reappointing Chairman Bernanke, one of the worst ways to deal with it appears to be off the table. I would also argue that without debt monetization, future inflation prospects are muted somewhat.



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Val writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 10:33 AM
Obama did something right?
Prepare for the onslaught of "haters" prepared to tell you you're "dead wrong."
nihilist writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 11:49 AM
Big political mistake for Obama...
Now he has to own TARP 1 and the Fed's recent activity and balance sheet. He can't blame Bush for this anymore as he has now assessed the man in charge and deemed him worthy to continue his post.
Val writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 12:08 PM
nihilist
I totally disagree with you.

I think tis a bold move to take ownership and he has too eventually. This move is "consistent" with Bush and that makes me think that TARP1 and TARP2 are working.

Obama has taken the reins, let him drive the "wagon."
Exeye writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 12:09 PM
Not buying it
I keep hearing you large brained Congresspeople tell me how a disaster was averted in October. Yeah? If you drive away from the hurricane and run smack into an earthquake, the results are pretty much the same. All you managed to do was defibrillate this beast of a corporatist system that should have been allowed to expire. Maybe then you big brained people would be forced into something novel- a free market.
nihilist writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 12:19 PM
Val
Just wait until the documents Bloomberg is getting unsealed in regard to the emergency loan program at the Fed start coming out.

Look, I could be wrong but I am very skeptical of the secrecy and ties to Wall Street that exist at the Fed. Obama should have taken the opportunity to cut the ties to Wall Street and appoint a man to run the Fed who is ultimately accountable to the American people instead of Wall Street executives.
BK writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 12:20 PM
Nihilist
I agree with you. Although, I think Obama bought the economy when he started taking over companies and dictating salaries to private companies. It's one thing to "float a loan" to private companies but when you interfere and take stock then you are not part of the solution but you are part of the problem.

Some of the bad decisions on the economy were caused by Beranke and his predessesor who minipulated the Fed and their policies.
Val writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 12:28 PM
"nihilist"
What is up with this site? Why is the guy called "nihilist" the most "reasonable?"

I was expecting the Wm G. Gruff approach and suprise!

But let's dig deeper...

"Nihilist": Sounds like you're saying take on the "old boys money network?" Didn't McCain promise that's what he would do? Obama made no such promise and may understand that folly of the free market is it needs a certain degree of consistentcy.

Is that 100% what "progressive Democrats" want? No. But it does continue with the Obamas actions in world of "bi-partisanship." Which the far right of course will hate.

Its lose-lose with the right "people" so I think he's on the right track.

Richard writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 2:10 PM
Cash For Clunkers: Success/GOP: FAIL
WASHINGTON – Cash for Clunkers generated nearly 700,000 new car sales and ended under its $3 billion budget, the Transportation Department said Wednesday.
nihilist writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 2:21 PM
Val
You make quite a mistake in assuming I'm far right or even moderately right. If you don't believe me ask around I'm sure everyone here will be happy to tell you what a "far-left liberal troll" I am.

Look the fact of the matter is Obama railed against the economic policies of Bush during the campaign talking about how Bush looked out for Wall Street and he was looking out for main street. Since being elected he has appointed Geithner who is extremely well connected to Wall Street and now Bernanke who was in charge of economic policy under the end of the Bush administration.

This is not change. Hell it's not even close.

Obama is being a pansy (I wish I could use a much more colorful word but in the interest of civil discourse I will refrain) when it comes to Wall Street. He hasn't stepped up enforcement or gotten stricter regulations put in place to help prevent a new crisis in the future. He is continuing the economic policies of Bush, the Wall Street knows best approach, and until he realizes that letting people who came from the system regulate the system doesn't work we are going to continue to have an economy built on bubbles and inflated values until the whole house of cards comes down at some point in the future.
Apollo writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 4:39 PM
Campbell
No Debt Monetization!

Surely that is a joke. What do you call buying two billion dollars of treasury notes? What do you call doubling the amount of money in circulation? (made possible by the purchase).

The fed is definitely returning to its policy from 1945 to 1981 of monetizing the war debt. That policy resulted in two percent economic growth and an average unemployment of around 6 1/2% to 7%. It also effectively confiscated the savings of millions of people making it almost impossible for the elderly to retire.

Bernanke is part of the problem and needs to go. He, Paulson and Geithner belong in jail.
Apollo writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 4:43 PM
Correction
Bernanke bought two TRILLION dollars of treasury notes when the Chinese balked at throwing good money after bad.

I still have trouble with trillions especially when they come in bunches.
Kurt writes: Wednesday, August, 26, 2009 11:20 PM
2 cents
Some I agree with some I do not... Here's my break down:

Independence: (Please vote HR1207 already! We just want to look under the hood a little! Surely a look at the books can't hurt? Can it?)

Past performance: (The last 20 years of fed ownership hasnt been good. I can't believe you actually think they did good, 2 words "Paul Volker!")

Continuity: (Yes... I agree, we don't need additional bumps in the road, Keep him for now, but toss him out if interest rate doesnt change in the next 6 months)

No Debt Monetization: (Your crazy to think its not happening, what planet are you on?)

I'm not from your district... but you do have some delusion that needs tended to, and I figured I'd offer a little advice:

Take the medicine needed now, end spending.






Chester writes: Saturday, September, 12, 2009 5:31 AM
Reagan Is Displeased by Your Trickery
I'm sorry but the great Ronald Reagan thinks you're a big fat hairy vagina. We don't need more big government stepping in and handing out money to a bunch of lazy moochers just because they're threatening a little instability. We don't negotiate with terrorists. Clearly Mr. Campbell you love the idea of big government stepping in and telling everybody what to do by handing out gobs of cash. It's socialism, pure and simple. If the gipper were alive today he'd bend you over his knee, pull your pants down and give you a fist in places you never knew you had, boy. Go back to Russia.
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About John Campbell

John Campbell is a member of the House Financial Services Committee, and has taken a leadership role in addressing the country's top economic issues. Campbell serves as a member of the Joint Economic Committee, and House Committee on the Budget. He has a Bachelor's Degree in Economics from UCLA and a Master's Degree in Taxation from USC.

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