Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Posted by: John Campbell at 10:06 AM

Last week’s witness in this committee was Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner talking about the President’s budget. He vigorously defended the budget, which I would expect from any member of the President’s cabinet. But I was disappointed that he did not acknowledge any of the highly questionable projections and assumptions that were made in order to make the deficit appear to not increase so drastically.

The budget predicts economic growth of 3.2% next year, increasing to an astounding 4.6% by 2012 with inflation levels staying at or below 2.0% during that time. If growth turns out to be that strong, we will indeed have inflation because of the monetary policies that have been pursued during this crisis. If inflation is that low then there won’t be growth. But budget numbers look better if there’s tax revenue from growth and low interest rates on the expanding national debt.

Geithner also made it clear that virtually all of the first $700 billion of TARP funds has been committed. The President’s budget calls for another $750 billion of TARP money but it does not say when it will be requested, or for what it may be used.

Here is my exchange with Geithner on these issues.



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nihilist writes: Wednesday, March, 11, 2009 11:25 AM
Let's have a real budget
It looks like we are finally figuring out that if our budget isn't based or realistic assumptions then it isn't very good. We need to keep making sure these budgets are reflecting reality and not designed to fool the American public.

It should be noted that Obama's budget is more realistic and accurate than many have been in the last few administrations. Two examples of this compared to the previous administration is he has included the costs of the war in the budget rather than treating it as an expense somehow unrelated to the federal budget and he has included costs related to FEMA and managing natural disasters which President Bush budgeted at $0.00.

We should all keep politicians honest when it comes to something as important as our national budget and remove politics from it as much as possible because this is our budget ans the American people deserve a fair and accurate assessment of the financial situation of our country.
Dose of Reality writes: Wednesday, March, 11, 2009 11:41 AM
so much
So much for being the smartest man in the room. the GDP will SHRINK this year by 6-8% and I have read most economist expect a continued contraction next year....now where near 3.2. We would be lucky to stay near zero. These guys know their numbers are no where near reality so there must be an ulterior motive for using them in the budget proposals...
J writes: Wednesday, March, 11, 2009 1:19 PM
No wonder why
BO picked this guy. He sounds like Gibbs....says a lot unrelated sound bites that dont address the question....and gets you either really pissed off or laughing so hard you forgot the original question..

Where is the accountability and where is the competence?
Bob writes: Friday, March, 27, 2009 12:40 AM
Keep asking questions
Geithner is just a man. I think he really believes in himself. Does he believe in others? Do we foolish ones need politicians to provide all of our direction?

Thank you for all your efforts to restore rights to individuals and states.
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About John Campbell

John Campbell is a member of the House Financial Services Committee, and has taken a leadership role in addressing the country's top economic issues. Campbell serves as a member of the Joint Economic Committee, and House Committee on the Budget. He has a Bachelor's Degree in Economics from UCLA and a Master's Degree in Taxation from USC.

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